On her new blog (welcome!) the warmist, lukewarmer, skeptic, confusionist, notorious denier and anti-labelist Professor Judith Curry has come up with a system of describing ones belief in a certain proposition using the Italian flag.
The flag has three colours and each colour has a specific meaning. Green means Evidence for, red means Evidence against and the white in the middle means Uncertainty unknowns. Now one can describe ones belief in a certain proposition by assigning percentages to each colour. For instance, to the litmus test statement "Al Gore is fat" I give 90% green, 5% white and 5% red (as a hypothetical example).
Unfortunately, the system proposed by Curry is both imprecise and confusing. Therefore I would like to propose a better system, based on the combined flags of Belgium, Italy, France, Ireland and Argentina:
With this new flag we can enrichen Prof Curry's epistemic system with more categories of beliefs, such as the following (all inspired by things Prof Curry have written or said):
- Black: Evidence for
- Dark blue: Evidence against
- Green: Uncertainty unknowns
- White: It is a summary, a sort of review. I don’t bring my personal opinions into this.
- Yellow: This question has not been adequately evaluated.
- Orange: Girma, you raise important points.
- Red: This is a postnormal, tribalistic environment.
- Light blue: The signal is often hidden by the noise.
So now all we have to do when we are discussing a subject is to display a flag with the widths of the stripes in proportion to how much belief we assign to each possibility. That should make everything much clearer!
De gustibus et coloribus non est disputandum.